Early stage valuation is like trying to find out the potential of a six year old. It works by starting to look at what he or she is at the moment - an average child, a genius or any of that for example. Imagine that you see someone of this age and you think to yourself, “what could they become?”
To answer this question, you will look at their current performance, their background, their parents and sponsors. You would ask yourself, “how are they performing in their class or current level?”, “are they stable or do they have disabilities that could hinder them?”, “who are their parents and what is their status or influence?”
The exact same thing happens in the early stage valuation where a young business is considered for its present worth and its possible future value. This valuation considers the performance statistics of a company in terms of revenue, cash flow, risks etc., their standing with other businesses and high-value stakeholders, and the quality of their intangible assets such as brand or patent rights among other things.
Also Read: Everything You Should Know About Startup Valuation
Startup valuation is the process of estimating the value or worth of a startup. Early stage valuation, therefore, simply refers to valuation being done while the company or startup is still relatively new. Typically, this happens within a few months of the company’s existence.
Early stage startups are difficult to value accurately and the reason lies in the fact that they are relatively new and have little activity. This little activity implies that there will be an insufficient or, sometimes, an unsatisfactory amount of revenue, unit sale, cash flow, and other data necessary for performing any kind of valuation.
Why perform an early stage valuation? Why not allow a startup to grow to its full potential before estimating its worth? Well, an early stage valuation has positive sides. Some of the major importance of this kind of valuation include:
Early stage startup valuation helps founders and investors project the value and potential of a startup right from its early days. Investors use this in making a quick decision on whether to keep an eye on a business or not. This is also done before a potential acquisition when investors want to get in early on a company. This is not just about the future
Once a startup turns out with a low market valuation, the next step would be to figure out ways of improving this value. There are a lot of things one can do to get going here and luckily for entrepreneurs, these options are relatively cheap. They include improving upon existing strategies, setting more realistic goals, partnering with industry giants, recruiting or training a solid team among others.
Also Read: The 6 Phases of a Startup
As we’ve mentioned, early stage valuation is difficult for the very reason that early stage companies don’t have enough data for valuation. Despite this challenge, however, it is still possible to value a new company. Here are the methods used to achieve this:
A company’s cash flow in the future is estimated using the Discounted Cash Flow method of valuation.
Future valuation method helps shareholders and investors understand the possible return on investment (ROI) of a startup.
The cost-to-duplicate method of early stage valuation identifies the total cost of a business’s activities and resources. Its application is arguably limited to physical business assets and processes such as inventory, office complex, products, and production costs.
Another way of performing an early stage valuation is using the market multiple method. This method simply values a company or startup which is similar in nature to the one requiring valuation. It then attributes the value of the first company to the second one.
Risk factor summation method of valuing an early stage startup or company is self descriptive. It involves assessing all the risks related to a business. This method first utilises any of the other methods for startup valuation. Once a value has been determined, the method then proceeds to estimate risks associated with the business and to calculate the final value after taking out the risks.
The Berkus method was developed by Dave Berkus. The American investor valued companies using five steps that include; determining their basic value, assessing their technology, assessing their execution, looking at their strategic market relationships, and finally, analysing their production and sales or output.
Also Read: 18 Metrics to Check for Business Growth
Early stage valuation could easily put a startup in a negative light. This happens when the company is valued low. You would probably want to know if it is possible to salvage this situation and what to do about it. Here’s are some ideas for that;
A valuable startup is one that generates good revenue or profit on operation and sales. By increasing profitability, you automatically increase the value of your company.
The movement of cash in and out of a startup or business is termed cash flow. This creates an interesting statistic for both founders and entrepreneurs because heavy cash flow implies that a company is active and operational.
Having a well organized and an efficient business operation is big stuff. It reduces waste of finance and material resources. Stakeholders find this attractive and more so, valuable.
High-end associations and acquaintances between businesses improve each one of them. It means that a company which has been in contact with a reputable client or investor or which has a high reputation itself can benefit a new startup by simply associating with.
One other way founders could boost their startup valuation is by acquiring the technical knowledge required to run their business. A huge knowledge gap reduces the valuation of a startup. This is because overall productivity is impacted when a company or business operates in a field it is not fully knowledgeable about.
If you pay good attention to what we mention here, you will likely move from being scared about an early stage valuation to being excited or even promoting it. Valuation exercises reveal a lot. And the positive side to it is that business owners get to understand the position of their business and what steps they need to take to change things.
For example, a business that records low early stage valuation can begin developing improved products, hiring top talents, or associating with high-value companies to boost its value. In another instance, a business that scores high in early stage valuation can simply look out for ways to maintain this reputation.
You can read more about regular startup valuations on our blog or learn more about building assets and securing fund which will all help you improve your business value.
Early stage valuation is the process of determining the current and potential future value of a startup during its early life, usually within the first few months of its creation. It is important because it helps founders and investors project the startup's potential, which influences funding decisions, business strategy, and partnerships. Additionally, it provides a clear picture of the company's worth, enabling adjustments to improve its market value.
Valuing an early-stage startup is challenging because such companies typically have minimal historical data, little-to-no revenue, and unpredictable future performance. Metrics like cash flow, profits, and market validation, which guide valuations, are often unavailable or unreliable, making it difficult to assign a precise value.
Some popular methods for early stage valuation include: - **Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method:** Projects future revenue and discounts it to present value. - **Market Multiple Method:** Compares the startup to similar companies in the market. - **Risk Factor Summation Method:** Adjusts valuation based on identified business risks. - **Cost-to-Duplicate Method:** Looks at the cost to replicate the business's assets. - **Berkus Method:** Assigns values to different business factors, such as management expertise and market potential.
Profitability is a critical indicator of a business's financial health. By increasing revenues through efficient operations, diversifying income streams, and reducing costs, startups demonstrate their potential to generate long-term returns. This attracts investors and improves their valuation as it signals a sustainable and scalable business model.
Cash flow is essential in determining a startup's operational health and activity level. Positive and consistent cash flow indicates that a company can manage its finances effectively and pay its expenses, making it more attractive to investors. Improved cash flow also demonstrates growth potential, which directly boosts valuation.
Building relationships with established industry stakeholders, reputable investors, and influential partners enhances a startup's credibility and perceived stability. Such associations provide validation in the market and may attract additional investments, elevate the startup's public image, and often increase its valuation.
The Berkus Method is a valuation approach that assigns monetary values to five key areas of a startup's operations: the idea, technology/prototype, quality of the team, strategic relationships, and product rollout or usability. It benefits early-stage startups, especially pre-revenue companies, by highlighting qualitative strengths in the absence of extensive financial data.
Founders can improve operational efficiency by streamlining business processes, adopting cost-effective technologies, reducing waste, and maintaining clear communication within the team. An efficient operation ensures better resource utilization and reduces overhead, which appeals to investors and boosts valuation rankings.
A founder possessing strong technical expertise in their field demonstrates competence in building and managing the business. This reduces execution risks, as they can develop quality products/services and adapt to industry changes. Investors value such expertise, as it improves the company's scalability and overall valuation.
Yes, an early-stage valuation is beneficial for pre-revenue startups because it helps them establish a baseline value for negotiations with investors. It also clarifies areas requiring improvement and provides insights into potential growth strategies. While challenging due to limited financial data, methods like the Berkus or Risk Factor Summation approach are particularly suited to pre-revenue startups.