Unemployment is a daunting problem that crisscrosses social, cultural, economic, and interpersonal circles. It can be defined as a market condition in which individuals are unable to find work despite being of suitable age and conditions and continuously making an effort to seek paid employment.
The rate of unemployment in a labor market is calculated by dividing the number of unemployed people by the number of employed people. When the resulting figure is high, the economy is simply on fire.
Everyone suffers a thing or two from widespread unemployment, but there is a popular notion that entrepreneurs stand to gain a lot. Supporters of this idea are quick to point out that unemployment creates an availability of skilled workers who are willing to settle for low wages. This is true, but it is not always the case.
As we will see later in this article, unemployment could cause wage inflations, forcing entrepreneurs to raise employee wages regardless of the revenue inflow. Rather than being a jackpot for business owners, the situation, instead,
Limits the capacity of a business to run operations - due to high market prices;
Manage partnerships - due to the collapse of partner businesses or reprioritization of their expenses; and
Maintain/improve the benefits or work conditions of its employees - due to reprioritization of its expenses.
This is enough to make any entrepreneur wish for a high economy where their business thrives and their employees enjoy competitive wages over the mere chance of hiring skilled workers for low pay. It summarizes why entrepreneurs care and why they rightly should care about unemployment. This article seeks to correct the notion that entrepreneurs enjoy unemployment periods by diving deep into the analysis of what it is and outlining the impact that most people fail to see.
“Entrepreneurship and growth have a dynamic relationship where one generates the other; unemployment spurs entrepreneurship, but entrepreneurship dampens unemployment; and growth dampens unemployment, but unemployment spurs growth.”
Above is an excerpt from the executive summary of the SBA Office of Advocay’s work by Jose M. Plehn-Dujowich on The Dynamic Relationship Between Entrepreneurship, Unemployment, and Growth: Evidence from U.S Industries. Research such as this has come to prove the complex but unique relationship that exists between unemployment and entrepreneurship.
The excerpt outlines that unemployment drives people to venture into entrepreneurship and as they begin their business career, their activities help reduce the unemployment numbers. When entrepreneurship is on the rise, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of an economy experiences growth.
This goes further to decrease the level of unemployment in the labor market. Separately, the excerpt indicates that the existence of unemployment could inspire growth in the economy - possibly from a change of perspective towards manufacturing, selling, and exporting.
You might be interested in knowing why an entrepreneur with or without workers (self-employed or normal entrepreneurs), and generating revenue, should care about unemployment statistics or situations. The answer is that unemployment brings lots of risks to existing businesses.
In the study of economics, it is understood that people living within a low economy (such as one with a high rate of unemployment) drastically cut down on their expenses and reduce their demand even for essential goods or services including food, water, and electricity. Of course, this means low sales and crashing revenues for entrepreneurs.
The problem could be so intense that it affects even essential businesses, such as the food markets and provision stores. The far-reaching impact also engulfs B2Bs that service these “essential” products or services stores and keep them running.
Once “essential” businesses begin to experience low patronage and realize smaller revenues, they become unwilling to use many supplementary services either to lower their expenses or prioritize their expenditure. This creates a domino effect, essentially driving the issue of low patronage and dwindling revenues across several industries and businesses, and further stifling the economy.
It is plain old psychology. Unemployment gives people all manners of ideas, including starting a business of their own. These new businesses might appear insignificant and many of them eventually fail. However, no matter how scarce the numbers, a few of them eventually succeed and amount to serious competition for already existing businesses.
An instance of this is when a new and inexperienced business partners or merges with an average or struggling competitor business by sharing ideas and resources. It may significantly increase the market dominance of the new entity and drive other smaller competitors down the line.
Entrepreneurs can work their way around the rise of new competitor businesses during major unemployment periods. Here are some steps they can take:
Research shows that unemployment spurs entrepreneurship. As an existing business owner, you can address the rise of new competitor businesses by choosing to support and invest in new businesses that appear to offer similar products or services or serve your target market. Your company/business can move to create a partnership or undergo a merger with new and uprising competitors. However, we must remind you of the importance of making careful considerations before taking such a step.
Entrepreneurs who are just breaking out from unemployment might have taken the time to study existing business processes or market conditions enough to identify a sweet spot for innovation. Being an older player, it is possible to launch talent hunt programs to identify and recruit unemployed individuals who are on the verge of building new businesses in the same market.
Unemployment easily creates a wage and then a price inflation situation. This is expressed in Philip’s Curve economic theory. According to the theory, there is an inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation in the short run and a stable relationship in the long run.
As a business owner, Philip’s Curve theory implies having to increase the wages of employees - especially those who are highly skilled, during periods of unemployment, to attract them to the team or persuade them to stay. Increasing wages generally raises corporate costs. Businesses respond to this new issue by raising the prices of goods and services to cover the increase in corporate costs, and that is how wage inflation and price inflation both take place during unemployment.
Also, big companies that have a solid revenue mechanism and can afford to pay high in a low economy, may use wage inflation periods as an opportunity to acquire more talented workers from competitor companies.
Businesses that fail to follow up on the unemployment situation within their economy will ultimately miss out on making necessary wage adjustments. They could lose some or all of their talented employees to this mistake. Unfortunately, rectifying the situation is not an easy step. It involves spending time, money, and resources in fresh hiring processes.
High operational cost is the unfavorable result of wage and price inflations caused by unemployment. This particularly impacts production or manufacturing businesses since they always need to purchase raw materials and other operational goods or services in order to develop their products.
If one production or manufacturing business considers the price of raw materials or plant management to be unbearable, it will be forced to push this cost onto customers by increasing the price of its finished products.
Imagine that this finished product now serves as a raw material for another manufacturing business. In that case, the second business would experience exponential operational costs both from the price inflation in the economy and from the increased price of its raw materials.
This situation shows how the effect of unemployment from a simple rise in prices could impact businesses across the board and even force them to fold up and shut down operations.
Want to hedge your business against unemployment? Here are a couple of steps to take.
Unemployment Insurance is a form of insurance that provides specific benefits to unemployed individuals. These people must meet certain criteria which is partly determined by their state, to be eligible for unemployment benefits. The four major criteria are:
Entrepreneurs, especially the self-employed type, can buy in on unemployment insurance to secure themselves if they fall out of business. Purchasing this insurance gives them some leverage at the point of future unemployment. They can be certain of a supply of income between the time when their business stops working and when it eventually picks up again.
FlexJobs’ 2022 Career Pulse Survey reveals that “63% of the 4,000 respondents would choose better work-life balance over better pay—only 31% would choose better pay over work-life balance.”
What this means is that not all employees are concerned about wage increases or pay raises. Some would comfortably settle for moderate pay as long as there is a conducive environment and considerable expectations.
Since some businesses are unable to make appropriate or satisfactory wage increases during a wage inflation-unemployment season, the above statistics point to a solution in providing other satisfactory employment conditions such as breaks, flexible work hours, and health plans for their employees.
The turmoils and economic downturns that come with unemployment could ruin the prices of several kinds of assets, including the popular or dominant ones. To hedge against this, it is advisable to have a diversified and well-thought-out asset portfolio. There’s no need to say that countless businesses have escaped folding up simply because they had a range of assets to fall back on and in today’s world, it is simply a good idea to have as many asset variety as possible. A good point to note when choosing asset classes or making investments is how easy or difficult it is to liquidate such assets in the case of an emergency.
The two points summary of this article is:
One, entrepreneurship is an economic activity in itself. It takes individuals outside the labor market and gives them authority over production, labor, and finances. This decision comes with risks and potential profits, but it ultimately reduces the level of unemployment within an economy.
Two, unemployment figures and ratings concern entrepreneurs more than most people even realize. The risks that high unemployment presents to existing businesses are enough reason for entrepreneurs to work towards a stable and thriving economy. These risks have been detailed in the preceding sections of this article along with mitigation steps for entrepreneurs.
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Unemployment refers to a condition where individuals are unable to find work despite being of working age, physically capable, and actively seeking paid employment. It is measured by dividing the number of unemployed individuals by the total labor force (employed plus unemployed) and multiplying by 100 to get the unemployment rate.
Unemployment creates challenges for entrepreneurs, such as reduced consumer spending due to low disposable income, which leads to declining sales and revenues. High unemployment can also cause wage inflation, rising operational costs, and increased competition from newly launched businesses by unemployed individuals seeking alternative income sources.
The common perception that unemployment lowers labor costs isn't always accurate. While a surplus of workers might pressure some to accept lower wages, wage inflation can also occur during periods of unemployment, particularly for high-demand skill sets. Businesses may need to increase wages to attract or retain skilled employees, thereby raising overall operating costs.
Unemployment often motivates individuals to start their own businesses. Facing difficulties securing jobs, many people turn to entrepreneurship as a means of financial survival. This economic activity can reduce the unemployment rate over time as these startups grow and create new job opportunities.
Monitoring unemployment rates helps entrepreneurs anticipate economic changes that might affect consumer purchasing power, labor market conditions, and partner businesses' stability. Being proactive allows them to devise strategies to mitigate risks stemming from high unemployment, such as revenue loss and increased operational costs.
According to Philip's Curve theory, unemployment and inflation have an inverse short-term relationship. During unemployment periods, businesses may increase wages to attract or retain skilled workers. This, in turn, raises production costs, leading to higher prices for goods and services, further accelerating inflation.
Entrepreneurs can mitigate risks by: - Investing in promising startups or forming partnerships with emerging businesses. - Launching temporary hiring programs to recruit skilled workers before they become competitors. - Providing appealing work conditions such as flexible schedules or health benefits to outweigh the pressure of wage inflation. - Diversifying assets to hedge financial risks during economic downturns.
Unemployment often leads to a domino effect on operational costs. Price inflation increases the cost of raw materials, services, and labor. Businesses are forced to raise prices to maintain profitability, which further affects demand and revenue. This cyclical impact can cripple operations, especially for production-oriented companies.
Yes, unemployment can harm successful businesses due to reduced consumer spending, disrupted supply chains (as partner businesses struggle or collapse), loss of skilled employees to competitors offering higher wages, and the rising cost of operational inputs caused by inflation.
While unemployment creates challenges, it can also present certain opportunities. Entrepreneurs may find it easier to hire skilled labor as more individuals seek jobs. Additionally, investing in or collaborating with new startups could lead to innovative partnerships and future growth. However, the drawbacks often outweigh the benefits, especially in prolonged periods of high unemployment.